From: Antoun Nabhan (antoun@arrayex.com)
Date: Thu Dec 14 2000 - 18:39:54 PST
At 02:19 PM 12/13/00 -0500, Damien Morton wrote:
>Without bandying around any stats, I think we might be able to agree that
>for every honorable 'gun-owner' there are probably several people we would
>rather didnt have guns in our company. Be it criminals, unstable people, the
>insane, intoxicated, desperate or whatever. I think we also might be able to
This paragraph right here may explain why the debate over guns is not just 
about guns, and why both sides are so passionate about it, far beyond even 
the threat. (Be truthful, people - how many of you have actually been 
threatened with a firearm? How many of you realistically believe you'll be 
threatened with a firearm anytime soon?)
Depending on which self-serving survey you read, somewhere between 35% and 
55% percent of American households have a gun in them. The notion that, oh, 
some multiple of 35% of the people are all untrustworthy - and I think 
that's what the word "several" in your paragraph above translates into - is 
facially incorrect. Less strawman-ishly, there really is a difference in 
outlook here about whether the average person bears violent intent toward 
his/her fellow humans.
I'm pretty sure that the number of people who are really dangerous and 
violent in this country is pretty damn small. Part of that is experiential 
or even dogmatic on my part, but I did used to do some work in criminology, 
and you can find study after study that confirms that a wildly 
disproportionate number of crimes are committed by a small percentage of 
"offenders" who are overacheivers in the activity and who represent an even 
smaller percentage of the overall population. The histogram distribution of 
"# of crimes committed by each criminal" versus "offenders in jail" is 
*not* Gaussian at all. You have a lot of people who get caught after one or 
two crimes, and then you have others that are caught after 10 or 20 or 50. 
(Maybe 3 and up for murderers.)
So the fact is, the vast majority of people are not just law-abiding, but 
really quite benign. (Even compassionate! Even in New York City!) Contrary 
to what seems to be the suburban fear, most "criminals" aren't the kind 
that jump out of bushes and slit your throat. Most bullets have a name on 
them; they aren't marked "to whom it may concern."
So, if you start from the viewpoint that most people don't want to kill you 
at all (and if they do, then maybe you need to reexamine your lifestyle, 
eh?), then what's wrong with letting them have dangerous things with some 
instructions and constraints on how they use them? Dangerous things, and 
the people who use them for good purpose, very much undergird our current 
society and have historically been responsible for a helluva lot of good. 
People routinely get killed/maimed using cars, combines, most power tools, 
factory equipment, many household and industrial chemicals (remember Mr 
Yuk!), and all sorts of other things that dainty journalists and knowledge 
workers tend to shy away from but are nonetheless necessary. Guns actually 
look pretty good on that score - if you exercise even a modicum of common 
sense about how to store, use, and carry a gun, it will reliably *not* kill 
or maim you accidentally.
And I do believe that guns are *necessary* in many wildlife-intensive rural 
parts of the country, and not necessarily a bad idea in some more populated 
places. This argument tends to get dismissed by most 'thinking' people, 
because most people who think of themselves as 'thinking' come from places 
that are not rural and not sparsely populated and therefore have simply 
never experienced a rabid raccoon in your tent or a wild boar at your door.
So yeah, if you believe that every man is a murderer just looking for a 
dark alley, then guns, and everything else in the "Clue" weapon repertoire, 
are a bad idea. If you believe that the default setting for humans in 
America, ca. 2001, is "pretty decent folk," then guns are just fine.
The anti gun lobby is not just saying that guns are dangerous, they're 
saying, pretty explicitly as represented by Damien, that most people aren't 
"pretty decent folk," and that gun owners in particular are less decent 
than the rest. That's rhetorically insulting, but substantively leads 
directly to other arguments that everyone's individual personal empowerment 
should be curtailed. (If there were automatic cars, wouldn't the same 
political contingent say that us poor stupid citizens had shown ourselves 
to be too incompetent and irresponsible to handle the manual ones? The 
statistical evidence is even stronger there.)
So yeah, that's why gun owners feel persecuted.
When I procrastinate, I *really* procrastinate!
--A.
Antoun Nabhan                  * You may come out of each grueling bout
Berkman Center for             *     all broken and beaten and scarred.
     Internet & Society         * Just have one more try. It's dead easy to 
die;
617.901.8871                   *     It's the keepin-on-living that's hard.
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