Finance and Economics after the Dotcom Crash
Thu, 03 Jan 2002 10:10:35 -0700
Tom wrote, "The problem is translating that math to a specific R&D project
or even to a small number of them. It can't be done. "
True enough. Having worked in research, advanced development, and
development, and having had folks that knew what the rates of return on
investment were for specific projects, it's possible to identify some
For research, 10 of 100 efforts will produce useful results.
For advanced development of the results from the research groups, 10 of 100
efforts will produce useful results.
For development of the advanced research results, 10 of 100 efforts will
produce profitable results.
In other words, profitable product results from about 0.1 % of the
research, and, product results from about 1 %. These numbers apply only to
my experience in the computer manufacturing industry, as I have no idea
what happens in others.
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